We are developing simulation models for the Tasman and Golden Bays marine ecosystem to test what is likely to happen in different scenarios.
Project leader: Ian Tuck, NIWA
Duration: May 2016 – June 2019
We have put together and validated an ecosystem model using the Atlantis framework. The Atlantis model is a computer representation of the Tasman and Golden Bays area that can be used to mimic, and help understand, dynamics and flow-on effects from changes in the environment or its management. It encompasses everything from sunlight and nutrients through to predators and fisheries. It allows researchers and decision-makers to test different scenarios to understand effects on the whole ecosystem.
We have engaged with regional council representatives, Māori, marine managers, and a range of stakeholders, to understand their concerns relating to the marine environment in Tasman and Golden Bays. The model has been used to explore the implications of a range of environmental and management scenarios. For example, our results suggest that the collapse of scallop populations in the region is not associated with scallop harvesting, but changes in habitat suitability.
We have also built a food-web model and are developing a size-based ecosystem model for exploring scenarios. We will investigate ways to compare these modelling approaches and explore which are the most useful to answer specific questions. When our project is complete we will be able to advise which model to use depending on the criteria.
This work is strongly linked with the Participatory Tools project which is developing web-based tools so people can interface with model outputs to support decision-making.
- Ladds MA, Sibanda N, Arnold R, Dunn MR (2018). Creating functional groups of marine fish from categorical traits. PeerJ Preprints 6:e27148v1 DOI: 10.7287/peerj.preprints.27148v1
Latest news and updates
Kaikōura community members gathered on 10 April to hear from National Science Challenge researchers who have been working in the area since the 2016 quake.
Last week (4-8 March) the Sustainable Seas team were in Nelson on a LEARNZ virtual field trip. Sustainable Seas researchers talked to students from over 100 schools around New Zealand about ecosystem-based management, kaitiakitanga of the marine environment, ecosystem services and tracking plastics in our oceans.
We are pleased to welcome Joe Harawira and Ian Ruru to the Sustainable Seas National Science Challenge Kāhui Māori.